The Quantitative Peace

Ron Paul Foreign Policy Ad

I haven't seen this until this morning, but this is a video put out by a PAC supporting Ron Paul's campaign. I don't suspect the content of the video will sit well with many conservatives who like to think of the presence of US military forces as at best largely beneficial to the host state, and at worst, mostly benign. In spite of the pressures to cut budgets and downsize government, I think the Republican party is still largely composed of people that take a very militaristic view of American foreign policy and how we should conduct ourselves on the world stage. That said, I would imagine that this sort of thing is largely baked in as this policy position is not new for Ron Paul and probably doesn't matter too much in terms of swaying voters one way or the other. Nevertheless, the video is pretty impressive insofar as its bluntness is concerned.  

(Video via Steve Clemmons at the Washington Note) 

Big Week

So it's been a busy semester with all of the dissertating, job applicating, researchitating, and paper writing. As I've mentioned before, blogging has (unfortunately) taken a bit of a back seat to all of this. I can't say that it hasn't been worth it, though, as this has been a rewarding semester insofar as the work that I've been focusing on is concerned. However, some big events have occurred over the past week and I feel compelled to at least say a little something about them. More after the jump...

2010 CIRI Human Rights Data Project Report

The CIRI Human Rights Data Project, of which I am a part, released its 2010 data last weekend.  A report pointing out interesting patterns can be viewed over at the CIRI Blog.  One interesting bit:

The CIRI Index of Physical Integrity Rights measures a government's overall level of respect for four rights: torture, extrajudicial killing, political imprisonment, disappearance. The index ranges from 0 (no respect for any of these four rights) to 8 (full respect for all four of these rights). In 2008-2009, the world saw an overall average increase in these rights of .047. However, a reversal of this improvement was seen from 2009-2010, with it's overall average decline in respect of -.031...An important part of this overall decline in respect for physical integrity rights comes from a continuing degradation, globally, of respect for the right not to be tortured. For example, 2009-2010 saw 17 countries engage in more torture, while only 8 engaged in less torture...This trend in the greater use of torture is not a post-9/11 phenomenon, however. The chart below shows the increased use of torture beginning in the early 1980s. The extent of the drop in respect for this right differed by region and is seen to be particularly acute in Africa.

This is particularly interesting when combined with the fact that, according to CIRI, political imprisonment has become less common over the same time period.  Off the top of my head, I would probably attribute these changes to substitution of one form of repression for the other.  It seems likely that, as information on human rights abuses has become more widespread, governments have engaged less in the physical integrity rights violation that is the hardest to publicly deny (political imprisonment) and more in a form of repression that is much more clandestine (torture).  This seems especially plausible to me since one of the world's greatest publicizers of human rights abuses, Amnesty International, began its life as an organization primarily committed to supporting and publicizing the plight of "prisoners of conscience" worldwide.  Over time, the cost of engaging in political imprisonment may very well have become high enough to make other, less visible forms of repression more attractive.

Of course, there are many alternative explanations for these changes, and there is a lot of work that remains to be done in terms of developing theories of state repression.  This simply stands out as one of the many empirical puzzles that remain to be solved for those of us interested in studying government respect for human rights.  In the meantime, check out the CIRI Human Rights Data at http://www.humanrightsdata.org and the CIRI blog at http://humanrightsdata.blogspot.com/.

 

Links from the Weekend

• Peer Review of the Internet - "It will enable sentence-level critique of written words combined with a sophisticated yet easy-to-use model of community peer-review. It will work as an overlay on top of any stable content, including news, blogs, scientific articles, books, terms of service, ballot initiatives, legislation and regulations, software code and more-without requiring participation of the underlying site." h/t - orgtheory
  
  
• South Korea launches an online "Unification Channel" to educate younger generations about the dangers of reunification. 


• What 7 billion people look like
  
  
• Graphic Dispatches from a Recent College Grad Still Living in a College Town - Gift prices for the holidays v. education v. the real world.
  
  
• 3QD prize voting is now open - Several of the nominated posts are by political scientists and the winner will receive a $1,000 prize.

Social Science Bloggers, You Can Win Money

3 Quarks Daily is hosting its 3rd Annual 3QD Politics & Social Science Prize for "best blog writing in politics & social science:"

As usual, this is the way it will work: the nominating period is now open, and will end at 11:59 pm EST on December 3, 2011. There will then be a round of voting by our readers which will narrow down the entries to the top twenty semi-finalists. After this, we will take these top twenty voted-for nominees, and the four main editors of 3 Quarks Daily (Abbas Raza, Robin Varghese, Morgan Meis, and Azra Raza) will select six finalists from these, plus they may also add up to three wildcard entries of their own choosing. The three winners will be chosen from these by Professor Walt.

The first place award, called the "Top Quark," will include a cash prize of one thousand dollars; the second place prize, the "Strange Quark," will include a cash prize of three hundred dollars; and the third place winner will get the honor of winning the "Charm Quark," along with a two hundred dollar prize.

Stephen Walt is judging:

We are very honored and pleased to announce that Professor Stephen M. Walt, who was also the winner of the 3QD politics prize last year, has agreed to be the final judge for our 3rd annual prize for the best blog writing in politics & social science

 

Hat tip: Henry at Crooked Timber